|Nico Rosberg's odds to finally beat his team mate |
Lewis Hamilton over a season may be tempting
Photo: Octane Photography
If you fancy laying some money Lewis's way then evens for him to win no more than 11.5 rounds this year looks better value - he got 'only' 10 wins last season and you'd think this campaign will be more competitive, although on the other hand there after 21 rounds this time rather than the 19 then.
Nico Rosberg by contrast gets fairly tempting odds. For him to continue his good end of 2015 form and win the ultimate prize in 2016 you can back him at 29/10. Maybe even better value is 5/6 on him to get more than 5.5 wins, which would be to match his total from last year at least (which was six) and with two more rounds to do it in.
Many analyses post testing suggested however that Ferrari could be with, or nearly with, Mercedes; and therefore 5/1 for Sebastian Vettel to take the crown looks tempting. Particularly if Hamilton and Rosberg are in a close fight, as Seb could sneak between the squabbling pair who are busy taking points off each other. While 40/1 for Seb's team mate Kimi Raikkonen to take the title for himself is a very inviting medium-range punt. Yes we know about Kimi's recent struggles but the SF16-H may have finally the responsive front end that he craves, and he looked confident in the car in Barcelona.
Testing though didn't give us much sense of there being a great deal of point in betting on anyone other than Mercedes or Ferrari for titles, and this too is reflected in the odds which go out dramatically at that point. If you fancy a long shot, then 100/1 on Valtteri Bottas is the most sensible. Testing suggested Williams will likely start the campaign as best of the rest, and there was some optimism emanating from the squad. For the likes of Fernando Alonso and Daniel Ricciardo it looks even in a generous estimate that they'll cede too much ground in the championship race as their cars are getting up to speed early in the year.
|Due to the odd placing system,|
it may be worth betting on Rio Haryanto
being the top Manor in the table
Photo: Octane Photography
Otherwise odds on two of the English pilots to win out over their respective team mates - Jenson Button at 8/5 and Jolyon Palmer at 12/5 - appear among the better value.
An intriguing one is at Manor, as the probability is that team won't be a regular scorer, therefore whichever driver has the highest single placing will likely decide who is ahead in the table (e.g. one P12 would beat any number of P13s). It therefore is a measure that could be decided in large part by chance than who generally is on top, possibly by a solitary good placing on a day of high attrition. With this, 8/5 on Rio Haryanto to get ahead of Pascal Wehrlein looks pretty good value.
All odds quoted in this article were accurate on the NetBet website at 2000 GMT on Friday 11 March 2016.