Wednesday 25 October 2017

Mexican GP Betting Preview - Silver struggle?

You know the one about not jumping to conclusions. Lewis Hamilton has won six of the last eight rounds, and been at somewhere near the top of his game. Now we have the Mexico round, with plenty of long straights on the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez on which the Mercedes can stretch its legs.

The championships may be as good as gone, but Ferrari
 looks good for the Mexico race
By ProtoplasmaKid - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://
And yet. Mercedes has been worried about this one for a while. With the high altitude all will be able to run with maximum downforce, and Ferrari and Red Bull has tended to look stronger in such a spec this season.

"I think the Ferraris will be quite quick," said Lewis in advance of this one. "I'm not sure how we're going to do at that track, I think they might have the upper hand."

And even better the bookies don't appear to have twigged, making Lewis the clear favourite. Therefore lay your money on Sebastian Vettel at 7/2 to get the pole and 13/5 to get the win.

Seb to get fastest lap at 5/2 also looks good - he indeed has taken fastest lap in two of the previous three races (and he barely started the other one).

It may be worth also laying some money on his Ferrari team mate Kimi Raikkonen to finish on the podium, at 2/1.

We mentioned the Red Bull too, and whatever is the case the Bulls have been right on the pace consistently in recent rounds. While the odds on Max Verstappen to triumph are even more generous than Seb's, at 6/1. Even Max to get onto the podium is tempting, at 7/10.

Keep your money away from Daniel Ricciardo though who's likely to have a grid penalty this Sunday. You might be able to take advantage of this though, as you can 'back' Red Bull not to get a double points finish at 13/8. Yes Ricciardo should make race-day progress but passing is tough at the Mexico track plus it'll likely be a 'Bridgestone-style' one-stopper, so there will be little to aid his progress.

Nico Hulkenberg last year in Mexico qualified fifth, ahead of the Ferraris, and finished seventh, and you can get a long looking 6/1 on him to finish in the top six this time and 4/5 for him to score. The respective odds for his new Renault team mate Carlos Sainz, who impressed in Austin, are 6/1 and 8/15.

The Force Indias meanwhile should fly on the long straights and both Esteban Ocon and Sergio Perez can be backed at 5/2 for a top six placing.

All odds quoted in this article were accurate on the Oddschecker website at 1830 GMT on Wednesday 25 October 2017.

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